Calculator · Property
Would downsizing get me there sooner?
Written by Project OptionalLast reviewed
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The short answer
Usually, and by more than the equity alone would suggest. Selling frees capital once.
Living somewhere cheaper lowers what you spend every month after that, which raises what you can invest and lowers the amount you need saved at the same time.
Calculator
Enter the move
Put in the equity the move would release and what you pay for housing before and after. The result separates how much of the pull-forward comes from the check and how much comes from the lower monthly cost.
Optional now
MAR 2047
After the move
12 yrs
JUN 2038
Pull-forward
105 months sooner
New target
$1.23M
Saved every month
$900
Target falls by
$270K
Pull-forward
105 months sooner
The lower running cost is doing more here than the equity is: about 53 of the 105 months come from spending less every month, not from the lump sum.
Assumes a 7% average real return (after inflation) and a 4% withdrawal rate. Moving costs, and any tax on the gain, are not included — subtract them from the equity released.
Why it moves both sides
Your Optional Number is annual spending divided by a safe withdrawal rate. At 4%, that means every $100 a month you permanently stop spending takes about $30,000 off the amount you need saved.
A move that cuts housing by $900 a month therefore lowers the target by roughly $270,000, before a single dollar of equity is counted. And the $900 is also available to invest while you are still working, so it arrives on both sides of the equation at once.
The equity is the smaller half
This is the part that surprises people, and the calculator above splits it out so you can see it on your own figures rather than take it on faith.
A $150,000 check invested at a 7% real return is doing one job. A $900 monthly saving is doing three: it raises contributions now, it lowers the target permanently, and it keeps doing both for every year between the move and the day you stop working.
Which means a lateral move can be worth more than it looks. Trading a large house for a similar-value flat with lower running costs releases no equity at all and can still pull the date forward.
The tax on the sale
Selling a main home is one of the better-treated transactions in the tax code. You may exclude up to $250,000 of gain, or $500,000 filing jointly, if you owned the home and lived in it as your main home for at least two of the five years before the sale.
The exclusion can be used repeatedly, though generally no more than once every two years. Whatever is left after it, plus moving costs, should come off the equity figure you put into the calculator, because the model takes that number at face value.
Relevant if you are also planning a breakThe IRS counts short absences, a summer holiday for instance, as periods of use toward those two years. It states that longer breaks do not, and the example it gives is a one-year sabbatical. If a break and a sale are both on your list, the order you do them in can matter.
Worked example
Case study — The Okonkwos, 51 and 53
Four-bedroom house, children moved out. Moving to a smaller place would release $150,000 after costs and cut housing from $2,400 a month to $1,500. They have $180,000 invested and contribute $1,500 a month against a $60,000 spending target.
Equity released
$150,000
Saved monthly
$900
Target before
$1.5M
Target after
$1.23M
How this works in a saved plan
The Scenarios Lab has a sell-the-house lever that puts the proceeds into the portfolio on a date you choose, and stacks with everything else. Pair it with the different-target lever to model the lower running costs, since that is what actually moves your Optional Number.
Sources
- IRS — Publication 523, Selling Your HomeThe $250,000 and $500,000 exclusions, the ownership and use tests, and how absences are counted.
- IRS — Tax considerations when selling a homeThe two-of-five-years requirement and the limit on how often the exclusion may be claimed.
Common questions
What if the smaller place costs the same?
Then you release no equity, and the move can still pay if the running costs are lower. The calculator will show the pull-forward coming entirely from the monthly saving.
Does renting instead count?
The arithmetic is the same: equity released, running cost changed. Whether renting is cheaper month to month depends on your market, and the model takes whatever figure you give it.
Should I use the proceeds to pay off a mortgage instead?
That lowers your monthly cost rather than raising your balance, so it shows up on the other side of this calculator. Nothing here models debt directly, so enter the result as a lower housing cost and a smaller equity release.
Why doesn’t my home count toward Optional already?
Home equity is excluded from the eligible portfolio because it does not pay for groceries. It only counts when it turns into invested capital, which is exactly what this page is about.
Keep reading
Membership
Model the move against everything else.
The Scenarios Lab stacks a house sale with the other levers, so you can see downsizing and a sabbatical together rather than one at a time.